Holywell vs Denbigh Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Denbigh Town travel to face Holywell on Friday 27 February in the FAW Championship, with Bartons North Wales Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holywell 2.5 xG, Denbigh Town 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holywell 60%, draw 19%, Denbigh Town 21%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holywell 2–1 Denbigh Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holywell60%fair 1.67 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.33
Denbigh Town21%fair 4.82 · @5.80
4.01Expected goals
2.47Holywell xG
1.54Denbigh Town xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Holywell 2.5 – 1.5 Denbigh Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Holywell
Denbigh Town
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+15%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+19%
Our expected goals here
2.46
1.70
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holywell to win✓
60%
1.67
1.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Draw no bet
Holywell (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Denbigh Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Holywell to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Holywell ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holywell / FT Holywell✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Holywell – last 1
W
20 Feb
@ Buckley Town
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Denbigh Town – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Llandudno
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and Denbigh Town.
What is the prediction for Holywell vs Denbigh Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Holywell vs Denbigh Town?
On our numbers Holywell have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Denbigh Town 21%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs Denbigh Town?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs Denbigh Town?
Our predicted score is Holywell 2–1 Denbigh Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs Denbigh Town?
Holywell vs Denbigh Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Bartons North Wales Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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