Newport City 46%Draw 23%Carmarthen Town 31%Expected goals 1.91 – 1.48
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewport City to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newport City welcome Carmarthen Town to Newport Stadium for a FAW Championship fixture on Sunday 1 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, Newport City are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Carmarthen Town are 10th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport City 1.9 xG, Carmarthen Town 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport City 46%, draw 23%, Carmarthen Town 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport City 1–1 Carmarthen Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport City46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Carmarthen Town31%fair 3.25 · @3.10
3.39Expected goals
1.91Newport City xG
1.48Carmarthen Town xG
61%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Newport City 1.9 – 1.5 Carmarthen Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Newport City
Carmarthen Town
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+1%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+35%
Our expected goals here
2.47
1.79
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport City to win✗
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Newport City (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Carmarthen Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Newport City to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Newport City ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport City / FT Newport City✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Newport City – last 2
WW
20 Feb
vs Llantwit Major
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Afan Lido
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Carmarthen Town – last 2
WL
21 Feb
@ Caerau (Ely)
4–3
W
13 Feb
vs Trefelin
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport City and Carmarthen Town.
What is the prediction for Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
On our numbers Newport City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carmarthen Town 31%.
How many goals will there be in Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
Our predicted score is Newport City 1–1 Carmarthen Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Newport Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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