Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBenfica to win ✓61% · @1.48
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.34
Santa Clara vs Benfica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 13 February: Santa Clara v Benfica in the Primeira Liga, played at Estádio de São Miguel. In the table, Santa Clara are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Benfica are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Clara 0.9 xG, Benfica 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Clara 16%, draw 23%, Benfica 61%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Clara 0–1 Benfica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Clara16%fair 6.14 · @7.30
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
Benfica61%fair 1.65 · @1.48
2.61Expected goals
0.91Santa Clara xG
1.70Benfica xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Santa Clara 0.9 – 1.7 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✓
61%
1.65
1.48
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Benfica (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Santa Clara +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Benfica to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Santa Clara
No recent results on record.
Benfica
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and Benfica.
What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
On our numbers Santa Clara have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Benfica 61%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Benfica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Santa Clara 0–1 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Santa Clara vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Miguel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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