Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP to win ✓67% · @1.29
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Sporting CP vs Famalicao: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Primeira Liga brings Sporting CP against Famalicao at Estádio José Alvalade. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting CP are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Famalicao are 10th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP 2.0 xG, Famalicao 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP 67%, draw 20%, Famalicao 13%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP 2–0 Famalicao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP67%fair 1.48 · @1.29
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @5.00
Famalicao13%fair 7.63 · @10.75
2.81Expected goals
2.01Sporting CP xG
0.80Famalicao xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.0 – 0.8 Famalicao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
67%
1.48
1.29
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Sporting CP
No recent results on record.
Famalicao
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Famalicao.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Famalicao 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–0 Famalicao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
Sporting CP vs Famalicao (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AVS3