Value bet: GIL Vicente to win @ 2.48 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✗43% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Estoril vs GIL Vicente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Primeira Liga brings Estoril against GIL Vicente at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Estoril are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; GIL Vicente are 7th (upper half) with 18. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estoril 1.1 xG, GIL Vicente 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estoril 30%, draw 27%, GIL Vicente 43%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: GIL Vicente to win @2.48 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estoril 1–1 GIL Vicente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estoril30%fair 3.30 · @2.76
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.25
GIL Vicente43%fair 2.34 · @2.48
2.58Expected goals
1.09Estoril xG
1.49GIL Vicente xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Estoril 1.1 – 1.5 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✗
43%
2.34
2.48 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Draw no bet
GIL Vicente (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Estoril +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
GIL Vicente to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
28%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Estoril – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ AVS
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
GIL Vicente
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estoril and GIL Vicente.
What is the prediction for Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers Estoril have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and GIL Vicente 43%.
How many goals will there be in Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is Estoril 1–1 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
Estoril vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
