FC Porto 80%Draw 14%Rio Ave 6%Expected goals 2.57 – 0.60
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Porto to win ✓80% · @1.11
Double chanceFC Porto or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.40
FC Porto vs Rio Ave: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Porto welcome Rio Ave to Estádio Do Dragão for a Primeira Liga fixture on Sunday 22 February (21:30 WAT). In the table, FC Porto are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 11 matches; Rio Ave are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Porto 2.6 xG, Rio Ave 0.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 46% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Porto 80%, draw 14%, Rio Ave 6%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Porto 3–0 Rio Ave. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Porto80%fair 1.25 · @1.11
Draw14%fair 7.02 · @7.60
Rio Ave6%fair 17.05 · @25.00
3.16Expected goals
2.57FC Porto xG
0.60Rio Ave xG
46%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
3–012%
1–011%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Porto 2.6 – 0.6 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Double chance
FC Porto or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.44
Draw no bet
FC Porto (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
FC Porto -1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
FC Porto to score first✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
FC Porto ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto✓
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
12%
8.40
–
Recent results
FC Porto – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Nacional
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rio Ave – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Moreirense
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto and Rio Ave.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FC Porto vs Rio Ave?
On our numbers FC Porto have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Rio Ave 6%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto vs Rio Ave?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto vs Rio Ave?
Our predicted score is FC Porto 3–0 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Porto vs Rio Ave?
FC Porto vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Dragão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
