Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.38
FC Porto vs Arouca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 27 February: FC Porto v Arouca in the Primeira Liga, played at Estádio Do Dragão. In the table, FC Porto are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 11 matches; Arouca are 5th (upper half) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Porto 2.0 xG, Arouca 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Porto 70%, draw 19%, Arouca 11%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Porto 2–0 Arouca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Porto70%fair 1.44 · @1.16
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @6.40
Arouca11%fair 9.15 · @19.50
2.72Expected goals
2.00FC Porto xG
0.72Arouca xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Porto 2.0 – 0.7 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win✓
70%
1.44
1.16
Double chance
FC Porto or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.48
Draw no bet
FC Porto (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
FC Porto -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
First team to score
FC Porto to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
FC Porto ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto✓
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
FC Porto – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Rio Ave
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nacional
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Arouca – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Nacional
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto and Arouca.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Porto vs Arouca?
On our numbers FC Porto have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arouca 11%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto vs Arouca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto vs Arouca?
Our predicted score is FC Porto 2–0 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Porto vs Arouca?
FC Porto vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Dragão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
