Sporting CP vs Estoril: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:45 WAT, Friday 27 February: Sporting CP v Estoril in the Primeira Liga, played at Estádio José Alvalade. In the table, Sporting CP are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Estoril are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP 2.7 xG, Estoril 0.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP 77%, draw 14%, Estoril 9%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting CP to win (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP 2–0 Estoril. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP77%fair 1.29 · @1.20
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @6.40
Estoril9%fair 11.72 · @12.50
3.41Expected goals
2.71Sporting CP xG
0.69Estoril xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–011%
1–09%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.7 – 0.7 Estoril expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✓
56%
1.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Sporting CP – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Estoril – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs GIL Vicente
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ AVS
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Estoril.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Estoril?
Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Estoril?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Estoril 9%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Estoril?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Estoril?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–0 Estoril, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Estoril?
Sporting CP vs Estoril (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
