Tondela 30%Draw 29%Santa Clara 41%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.25
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanta Clara to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Tondela vs Santa Clara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Primeira Liga brings Tondela against Santa Clara at Estádio João Cardoso. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tondela 1.0 xG, Santa Clara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tondela 30%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tondela 1–1 Santa Clara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tondela30%fair 3.29 · @3.35
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.85
Santa Clara41%fair 2.46 · @2.38
2.25Expected goals
1.00Tondela xG
1.25Santa Clara xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tondela 1.0 – 1.3 Santa Clara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara to win✗
41%
2.46
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Santa Clara (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Tondela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Santa Clara to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Tondela – last 2
WD
20 Feb
@ Estrela
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Alverca
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santa Clara – last 2
DL
21 Feb
@ Alverca
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Benfica
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tondela and Santa Clara.
What is the prediction for Tondela vs Santa Clara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Tondela vs Santa Clara?
On our numbers Tondela have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Santa Clara 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tondela vs Santa Clara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tondela vs Santa Clara?
Our predicted score is Tondela 1–1 Santa Clara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tondela vs Santa Clara?
Tondela vs Santa Clara (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio João Cardoso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
