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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Penya Encarnada v Carroi: numbers & prediction

1a Divisió · Andorra
Penya Encarnada 58%Draw 26%Carroi 16% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.76
58%
Betarazi pick

Penya Encarnada to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultPenya Encarnada to win ✗58% · @1.62
Double chancePenya Encarnada or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94

Penya Encarnada vs Carroi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carroi travel to face Penya Encarnada on Sunday 22 February in the 1a Divisió – the ball rolls at 13:15 WAT. In the table, Penya Encarnada are 6th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Carroi are 10th (in the drop zone) with 1.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penya Encarnada 1.7 xG, Carroi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 42%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Penya Encarnada 58%, draw 26%, Carroi 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Penya Encarnada to win (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penya Encarnada 1–0 Carroi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Penya Encarnada58%fair 1.72 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.50
Carroi16%fair 6.23 · @4.75
2.48Expected goals
1.72Penya Encarnada xG
0.76Carroi xG
42%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Penya Encarnada 1.7 – 0.8 Carroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPenya Encarnada to win ✗58%1.721.62
Double chancePenya Encarnada or draw ✓84%1.191.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betPenya Encarnada (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapPenya Encarnada -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scorePenya Encarnada to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Penya Encarnada / FT Penya Encarnada ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.94–

Recent results

Penya Encarnada

No recent results on record.

Carroi – last 1

D
15 Feb@ Esperança d'Andorra0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Penya Encarnada and Carroi.

Penya Encarnada vs Carroi head-to-head page →

1a Divisió table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santa Coloma8710+2322
2Inter Club d'Escaldes8530+1518
3Atlètic Club d'Escaldes8431+815
4Esperança d'Andorra8413+613
5Ordino8404-1012
6Penya Encarnada8233-59
7Ranger's8224-38
8Casa de Portugal8224-58
9Sporting Escaldes8125-135
10Carroi8017-161

More 1a Divisió predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

Our pick is Penya Encarnada to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

On our numbers Penya Encarnada have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Carroi 16%.

How many goals will there be in Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

Our predicted score is Penya Encarnada 1–0 Carroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

Penya Encarnada vs Carroi (1a Divisió) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.