Value bet: Esperança d'Andorra to win @ 2.88 – our chance 43% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsperança d'Andorra to win ✗43% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 13 April the 1a Divisió brings Esperança d'Andorra against Penya Encarnada. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Esperança d'Andorra are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 8 matches; Penya Encarnada are 6th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Esperança d'Andorra, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esperança d'Andorra 1.6 xG, Penya Encarnada 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esperança d'Andorra 43%, draw 25%, Penya Encarnada 32%.
Price worth noting: Esperança d'Andorra to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esperança d'Andorra 1–1 Penya Encarnada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esperança d'Andorra43%fair 2.30 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.20
Penya Encarnada32%fair 3.12 · @2.20
2.57Expected goals
1.55Esperança d'Andorra xG
1.01Penya Encarnada xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Esperança d'Andorra 1.6 – 1.0 Penya Encarnada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esperança d'Andorra to win✗
43%
2.30
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Esperança d'Andorra (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Penya Encarnada +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Esperança d'Andorra to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esperança d'Andorra / FT Esperança d'Andorra✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.39
–
Recent results
Esperança d'Andorra – last 4
LWDD
11 Mar
@ Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0–5
L
8 Mar
vs Carroi
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Ranger's
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Carroi
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Penya Encarnada – last 2
LD
1 Mar
@ Inter Club d'Escaldes
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Carroi
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esperança d'Andorra and Penya Encarnada.
What is the prediction for Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada?
On our numbers Esperança d'Andorra have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Penya Encarnada 32%.
How many goals will there be in Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada?
Our predicted score is Esperança d'Andorra 1–1 Penya Encarnada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada?
Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada (1a Divisió) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
