Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFeirense to win ✓36% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.60
Feirense vs Chaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chaves travel to face Feirense on Saturday 14 February in the Segunda Liga, with Estadio Marcolino de Castro the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Feirense are 18th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 10 matches; Chaves are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Feirense 1.1 xG, Chaves 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Feirense 36%, draw 29%, Chaves 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Feirense 1–1 Chaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Feirense36%fair 2.78 · @2.60
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.98
Chaves35%fair 2.88 · @2.70
2.16Expected goals
1.09Feirense xG
1.07Chaves xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Feirense 1.1 – 1.1 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Feirense
Chaves
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-47%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+40%
Our expected goals here
1.00
0.97
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Feirense to win✓
36%
2.78
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Feirense (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Chaves +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Feirense to score first✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Feirense / FT Feirense✗
20%
4.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.60
–
Recent results
Feirense
No recent results on record.
Chaves
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Feirense and Chaves.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Feirense vs Chaves?
On our numbers Feirense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Chaves 35%.
How many goals will there be in Feirense vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feirense vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Feirense 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Feirense vs Chaves?
Feirense vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcolino de Castro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Academico Viseu
Oliveirense