Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaritimo to win ✓48% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Maritimo vs Sporting CP B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Segunda Liga brings Maritimo against Sporting CP B at Estádio do Marítimo. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maritimo 1.4 xG, Sporting CP B 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maritimo 48%, draw 25%, Sporting CP B 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maritimo 1–1 Sporting CP B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maritimo48%fair 2.10 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
Sporting CP B27%fair 3.68 · @4.10
2.51Expected goals
1.37Maritimo xG
1.15Sporting CP B xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Maritimo 1.4 – 1.1 Sporting CP B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Maritimo
Sporting CP B
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+13%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.28
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maritimo to win✓
48%
2.10
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Maritimo (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP B +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Maritimo to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maritimo / FT Maritimo✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Maritimo – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Vizela
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sporting CP B – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Portimonense
4–3
W
4.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maritimo and Sporting CP B.
What is the prediction for Maritimo vs Sporting CP B?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Maritimo vs Sporting CP B?
On our numbers Maritimo have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting CP B 27%.
How many goals will there be in Maritimo vs Sporting CP B?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maritimo vs Sporting CP B?
Our predicted score is Maritimo 1–1 Sporting CP B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Maritimo vs Sporting CP B?
Maritimo vs Sporting CP B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Marítimo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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