Oliveirense 31%Draw 25%União de Leiria 44%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.52
73%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.31
8/10Rating
1.31Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnião de Leiria to win44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.91
Oliveirense vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Oliveirense v União de Leiria in the Segunda Liga, played at Estadio Carlos Osorio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oliveirense 1.2 xG, União de Leiria 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oliveirense 31%, draw 25%, União de Leiria 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oliveirense 1–1 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oliveirense31%fair 3.26 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
União de Leiria44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
2.69Expected goals
1.17Oliveirense xG
1.52União de Leiria xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Oliveirense 1.2 – 1.5 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Oliveirense
União de Leiria
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-13%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.66
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win
44%
2.26
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.71
1.77
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Oliveirense +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Oliveirense
No recent results on record.
União de Leiria – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oliveirense and União de Leiria.
What is the prediction for Oliveirense vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Oliveirense vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers Oliveirense have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União de Leiria 44%.
How many goals will there be in Oliveirense vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oliveirense vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is Oliveirense 1–1 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oliveirense vs União de Leiria?
Oliveirense vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Osorio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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