União de Leiria 52%Draw 26%Portimonense 22%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.99
78%
Betarazi pick
União de Leiria or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnião de Leiria to win52% · @1.78
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.57
União de Leiria vs Portimonense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: União de Leiria v Portimonense in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa. In the table, União de Leiria are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Portimonense are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União de Leiria 1.6 xG, Portimonense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União de Leiria 52%, draw 26%, Portimonense 22%.
Lower-risk option: União de Leiria or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was União de Leiria or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: União de Leiria 1–0 Portimonense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União de Leiria52%fair 1.92 · @1.78
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.45
Portimonense22%fair 4.54 · @4.20
2.57Expected goals
1.58União de Leiria xG
0.99Portimonense xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.6 – 1.0 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
União de Leiria
Portimonense
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+21%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.44
0.96
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win
52%
1.92
1.78
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Portimonense +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
União de Leiria – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Portimonense – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sporting CP B
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Portimonense.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
Our pick is União de Leiria or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portimonense 22%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–0 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
União de Leiria vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
