16:30 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Vizela v Chaves in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio Do Vizela. In the table, Vizela are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Chaves are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vizela 1.5 xG, Chaves 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vizela 42%, draw 26%, Chaves 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vizela 1–1 Chaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vizela42%fair 2.36 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.05
Chaves32%fair 3.13 · @2.94
2.59Expected goals
1.46Vizela xG
1.12Chaves xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vizela 1.5 – 1.1 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vizela
Chaves
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-4%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
+40%
Our expected goals here
1.80
1.20
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vizela to win
42%
2.36
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.77
Draw no bet
Vizela (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Chaves +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Vizela to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vizela / FT Vizela
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Vizela – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Leixoes
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Maritimo
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Farense
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Feirense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vizela and Chaves.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vizela vs Chaves?
On our numbers Vizela have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chaves 32%.
How many goals will there be in Vizela vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vizela vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Vizela 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vizela vs Chaves?
Vizela vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Vizela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
