Leixoes vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União de Leiria travel to face Leixoes on Sunday 8 March in the Segunda Liga, with Estádio do Mar the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Leixoes are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; União de Leiria are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leixoes 1.4 xG, União de Leiria 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leixoes 34%, draw 26%, União de Leiria 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leixoes 1–1 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leixoes34%fair 2.98 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.98
União de Leiria41%fair 2.46 · @2.60
3.00Expected goals
1.39Leixoes xG
1.62União de Leiria xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.4 – 1.6 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leixoes
União de Leiria
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+11%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.94
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✓
41%
2.46
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Leixoes +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Leixoes – last 2
WL
28 Feb
@ Sporting CP B
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Vizela
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
União de Leiria – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixoes and União de Leiria.
What is the prediction for Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers Leixoes have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and União de Leiria 41%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–1 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Leixoes vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Mar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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