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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lusitânia Lourosa v Sporting CP B: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estádio do Lusitânia FC
Lusitânia Lourosa 34%Draw 27%Sporting CP B 39% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.30
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSporting CP B to win ✗39% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.96

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lusitânia Lourosa welcome Sporting CP B to Estádio do Lusitânia FC for a Segunda Liga fixture on Sunday 8 March (19:00 WAT). In the table, Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Sporting CP B are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lusitânia Lourosa, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Farense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sporting CP B, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leixoes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia Lourosa 1.2 xG, Sporting CP B 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia Lourosa 34%, draw 27%, Sporting CP B 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Sporting CP B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lusitânia Lourosa34%fair 2.95 · @2.58
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Sporting CP B39%fair 2.57 · @2.58
2.47Expected goals
1.17Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.30Sporting CP B xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.2 – 1.3 Sporting CP B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Lusitânia LourosaSporting CP B
Attack vs Segunda Liga average-0%+7%
Goals conceded vs average-8%-22%
Our expected goals here1.051.20

Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting CP B to win ✗39%2.572.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.73
Draw no betSporting CP B (draw no bet) ✗53%1.87–
Asian handicapLusitânia Lourosa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreSporting CP B to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting CP B / FT Sporting CP B ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.96–

Recent results

Lusitânia Lourosa – last 3

LWL
1 Mar@ Farense1–2L
22 Febvs Feirense1–0W
16 Feb@ Penafiel0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sporting CP B – last 3

LLW
28 Febvs Leixoes0–1L
21 Feb@ Maritimo0–1L
15 Febvs Portimonense4–3W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia Lourosa and Sporting CP B.

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?

On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sporting CP B 39%.

How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?

Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Sporting CP B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.