FC Porto B vs Chaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chaves travel to face FC Porto B on Monday 6 April in the Segunda Liga, with Estádio Luís Filipe Menezes the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, FC Porto B are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Chaves are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Porto B, last 4: DLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oliveirense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Chaves, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to União de Leiria, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chaves, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for FC Porto B.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Porto B 1.2 xG, Chaves 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Porto B 35%, draw 26%, Chaves 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Porto B 1–1 Chaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Porto B35%fair 2.84 · @2.78
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.05
Chaves38%fair 2.61 · @2.50
2.53Expected goals
1.25FC Porto B xG
1.28Chaves xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: FC Porto B 1.2 – 1.3 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Porto B
Chaves
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-24%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
+40%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.40
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chaves to win✗
38%
2.61
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.83
Draw no bet
Chaves (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
FC Porto B +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Chaves to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chaves / FT Chaves✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
FC Porto B – last 4
DLWD
16 Mar
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Maritimo
1–2
L
23 Feb
vs Pacos Ferreira
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ União de Leiria
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 5
LWWWL
20 Mar
vs União de Leiria
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Sporting CP B
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Academico Viseu
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Farense
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Feirense
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto B and Chaves.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Chaves?
On our numbers FC Porto B have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chaves 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto B vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto B vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is FC Porto B 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Porto B vs Chaves?
FC Porto B vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Luís Filipe Menezes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
