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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torreense v Leixoes: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Manuel Marques
1–1
FT

Leixoes

WLLWL
Torreense 52%Draw 25%Leixoes 23% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.06
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorreense to win ✗52% · @1.88
Double chanceTorreense or draw ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Torreense vs Leixoes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Torreense welcome Leixoes to Estadio Manuel Marques for a Segunda Liga fixture on Monday 6 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, Torreense are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Leixoes are 12th (lower half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Torreense, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Felgueiras 1932, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Leixoes, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Pacos Ferreira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Torreense, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.2 for Leixoes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torreense 1.6 xG, Leixoes 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torreense 52%, draw 25%, Leixoes 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Torreense or draw (77%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torreense 1–1 Leixoes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torreense52%fair 1.91 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.30
Leixoes23%fair 4.40 · @3.95
2.66Expected goals
1.59Torreense xG
1.06Leixoes xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Torreense 1.6 – 1.1 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TorreenseLeixoes
Attack vs Segunda Liga average-12%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+31%
Our expected goals here1.551.20

Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorreense to win ✗52%1.911.88
Double chanceTorreense or draw ✓77%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.80
Draw no betTorreense (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapLeixoes +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreTorreense to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torreense / FT Torreense ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Torreense – last 5

WWWWD
22 Mar@ Felgueiras 19323–0W
16 Marvs Portimonense1–0W
7 Mar@ Oliveirense3–0W
21 Febvs Benfica B1–0W
15 Feb@ Pacos Ferreira0–0D
1.6Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Leixoes – last 5

WLLWL
22 Marvs Pacos Ferreira3–2W
14 Mar@ Academico Viseu1–3L
8 Marvs União de Leiria1–4L
28 Feb@ Sporting CP B1–0W
20 Febvs Vizela1–2L
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Torreense and Leixoes.

Torreense vs Leixoes head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torreense vs Leixoes?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Torreense vs Leixoes?

On our numbers Torreense have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leixoes 23%.

How many goals will there be in Torreense vs Leixoes?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torreense vs Leixoes?

Our predicted score is Torreense 1–1 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Torreense vs Leixoes?

Torreense vs Leixoes (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Marques.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.