Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Amed to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Esenler Erokspor vs Amed: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 9 April the 1. Lig brings Esenler Erokspor against Amed at Esenler Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Esenler Erokspor, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sivasspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Amed, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Boluspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Amed, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Esenler Erokspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esenler Erokspor 1.6 xG, Amed 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esenler Erokspor 39%, draw 23%, Amed 37%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Amed to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Amed. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esenler Erokspor39%fair 2.53 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.50
Amed37%fair 2.68 · @3.00
3.25Expected goals
1.61Esenler Erokspor xG
1.64Amed xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Esenler Erokspor 1.6 – 1.6 Amed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esenler Erokspor to win✗
39%
2.53
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Draw no bet
Esenler Erokspor (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Esenler Erokspor +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Amed to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amed / FT Amed✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
WLLDWW
5 Apr
@ Sivasspor
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Erzurumspor FK
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Çorum FK
1–2
L
12 Mar
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Bodrum FK
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amed – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Apr
vs Boluspor
6–1
W
22 Mar
@ Hatayspor
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Manisa F.K.
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ İstanbulspor
4–0
W
23 Feb
vs Van Spor Kulübü
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Sarıyer
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esenler Erokspor and Amed.
What is the prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
On our numbers Esenler Erokspor have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Amed 37%.
How many goals will there be in Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
Our predicted score is Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Amed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Esenler Erokspor vs Amed?
Esenler Erokspor vs Amed (1. Lig) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Erzurumspor FK1