İstanbulspor v Erzurumspor FK Prediction & Expected Goals (9 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✓53% · @1.77

Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓78% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35

İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Erzurumspor FK travel to face İstanbulspor on Thursday 9 April in the 1. Lig, with Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

İstanbulspor, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bodrum FK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Erzurumspor FK, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Esenler Erokspor, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Erzurumspor FK, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for İstanbulspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give İstanbulspor 1.1 xG, Erzurumspor FK 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – İstanbulspor 22%, draw 25%, Erzurumspor FK 53%.
Lower-risk option: Erzurumspor FK or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: İstanbulspor 1–1 Erzurumspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

İstanbulspor22%fair 4.59 · @3.90

Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.55

Erzurumspor FK53%fair 1.88 · @1.77

2.82Expected goals

1.11İstanbulspor xG

1.70Erzurumspor FK xG

60%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

0–110%

1–210%

0–29%

1–07%

2–16%

From our goals model: İstanbulspor 1.1 – 1.7 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Erzurumspor FK to win ✓	53%	1.88	1.77
Double chance	Erzurumspor FK or draw ✓	78%	1.28	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.66	1.70
Draw no bet	Erzurumspor FK (draw no bet) ✓	71%	1.41	–
Asian handicap	İstanbulspor +1 (Asian handicap)	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.90	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Erzurumspor FK to score first ✓	57%	1.76	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK ✗	31%	3.20	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.35	–

İstanbulspor – last 6

LLDLWL

22 Mar	vs Bodrum FK	0–1	L
11 Mar	vs Amed	0–4	L
3 Mar	vs Boluspor	0–0	D
27 Feb	vs Iğdır FK	1–2	L
21 Feb	@ Boluspor	1–0	W
17 Feb	vs Erokspor	1–4	L

0.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Erzurumspor FK – last 6

WWLWWW

22 Mar	@ Esenler Erokspor	2–0	W
15 Mar	vs Hatayspor	3–0	W
11 Mar	@ Ümraniyespor	1–3	L
7 Mar	vs Manisa F.K.	8–1	W
4 Mar	vs Keçiörengücü	4–2	W
28 Feb	@ Van Spor Kulübü	3–0	W

3.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

On our numbers İstanbulspor have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Erzurumspor FK 53%.

How many goals will there be in İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our predicted score is İstanbulspor 1–1 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

İstanbulspor v Erzurumspor FK: numbers & prediction