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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Erzurumspor FK v Bandırmaspor: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey · Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu
1–1
FT
Erzurumspor FK 52%Draw 27%Bandırmaspor 21% Expected goals 1.52 – 0.93
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✗52% · @1.77
Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78

Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Erzurumspor FK v Bandırmaspor in the 1. Lig, played at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu.

Current form

Erzurumspor FK, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bodrum FK, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Bandırmaspor, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Amed, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Erzurumspor FK 1.5 xG, Bandırmaspor 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Erzurumspor FK 52%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Erzurumspor FK or draw (79%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Bandırmaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Erzurumspor FK52%fair 1.91 · @1.77
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.40
Bandırmaspor21%fair 4.80 · @4.10
2.46Expected goals
1.52Erzurumspor FK xG
0.93Bandırmaspor xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.5 – 0.9 Bandırmaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultErzurumspor FK to win ✗52%1.911.77
Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓79%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.90 ▲
Draw no betErzurumspor FK (draw no bet)72%1.40–
Asian handicapBandırmaspor +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreErzurumspor FK to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK ✗31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

Erzurumspor FK – last 6

DWWWWL
19 Apr@ Bodrum FK1–1D
13 Aprvs Boluspor2–0W
9 Apr@ İstanbulspor1–0W
22 Mar@ Esenler Erokspor2–0W
15 Marvs Hatayspor3–0W
11 Mar@ Ümraniyespor1–3L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bandırmaspor – last 6

WDWDDD
19 Aprvs Amed2–0W
7 Aprvs Sarıyer0–0D
3 Apr@ Çorum FK1–0W
21 Mar@ Boluspor0–0D
16 Marvs Iğdır FK0–0D
12 Mar@ Esenler Erokspor1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Bandırmaspor.

Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor head-to-head page →

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor141022+1832
2Kayserispor14932+2230
3Iğdır FK14842+828
4Mardin 196914743+625
5Batman Petrolspor14734+324
6Keçiörengücü14653+823
7Bodrum FK14563+521
8Antalyaspor14626-120
9Fatih Karagümrük14545+419
10Esenler Erokspor14464+218
11Muğlaspor14464-718
12Ümraniyespor13454+417
13Sarıyer14455-417
14Vanspor FK14536-616
15Bandırmaspor14356014
16Pendikspor14356-1014
17Manisa F.K.14347-313
18Sivasspor14275-613
19İstanbulspor142210-218
20Boluspor131111-224

More 1. Lig predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?

On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bandırmaspor 21%.

How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?

Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Bandırmaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?

Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.