Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✗52% · @1.77
Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Erzurumspor FK v Bandırmaspor in the 1. Lig, played at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu.
Current form
Erzurumspor FK, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bodrum FK, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Bandırmaspor, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Amed, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzurumspor FK 1.5 xG, Bandırmaspor 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzurumspor FK 52%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 21%.
Lower-risk option: Erzurumspor FK or draw (79%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Bandırmaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzurumspor FK52%fair 1.91 · @1.77
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.40
Bandırmaspor21%fair 4.80 · @4.10
2.46Expected goals
1.52Erzurumspor FK xG
0.93Bandırmaspor xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.5 – 0.9 Bandırmaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Double chance
Erzurumspor FK or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Erzurumspor FK (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Bandırmaspor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Erzurumspor FK to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
DWWWWL
19 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ İstanbulspor
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Hatayspor
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Ümraniyespor
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bandırmaspor – last 6
WDWDDD
19 Apr
vs Amed
2–0
W
7 Apr
vs Sarıyer
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Çorum FK
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Boluspor
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Iğdır FK
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Bandırmaspor.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bandırmaspor 21%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Bandırmaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.