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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sakaryaspor v Çorum FK: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey · Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu

Sakaryaspor

DLLLW
0–4
FT

Çorum FK

WDLWW
Sakaryaspor 22%Draw 21%Çorum FK 57% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.80
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultÇorum FK to win ✓57% · @1.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Sakaryaspor v Çorum FK in the 1. Lig, played at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu.

Current form

Sakaryaspor, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hatayspor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Çorum FK, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sivasspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Çorum FK, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Sakaryaspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sakaryaspor 1.3 xG, Çorum FK 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sakaryaspor 22%, draw 21%, Çorum FK 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sakaryaspor 1–1 Çorum FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sakaryaspor22%fair 4.64 · @9.25
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.50
Çorum FK57%fair 1.74 · @1.30
3.11Expected goals
1.31Sakaryaspor xG
1.80Çorum FK xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Sakaryaspor 1.3 – 1.8 Çorum FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÇorum FK to win ✓57%1.741.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.792.00 ▲
Draw no betÇorum FK (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapSakaryaspor +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.571.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
First team to scoreÇorum FK to score first ✓55%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Çorum FK / FT Çorum FK ✓30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Sakaryaspor – last 6

DLLLWD
18 Apr@ Hatayspor1–1D
13 Aprvs Esenler Erokspor1–2L
8 Apr@ Ümraniyespor0–2L
21 Mar@ Serik Spor0–2L
15 Marvs Van Spor Kulübü2–1W
11 Mar@ Keçiörengücü1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Çorum FK – last 6

WDLWWW
19 Aprvs Sivasspor3–1W
7 Aprvs Bodrum FK1–1D
3 Aprvs Bandırmaspor0–1L
22 Mar@ Iğdır FK2–0W
16 Marvs Esenler Erokspor2–1W
12 Mar@ Boluspor2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sakaryaspor and Çorum FK.

Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK head-to-head page →

More 1. Lig predictions

League hub
FT Amed1 Bodrum FK1 160%1.48X22%4.10219%5.50 1.9–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Erzurumspor FK1 Bandırmaspor1 152%1.77X27%3.40221%4.10 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Keçiörengücü2 Manisa F.K.1 160%1.44X21%4.20220%6.00 2.0–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.57 ✓
FT Pendikspor2 Boluspor0 162%1.50X23%4.00215%5.50 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Sarıyer1 Esenler Erokspor0 122%5.80X23%3.90255%1.50 1.1–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗
FT Sivasspor2 Iğdır FK1 132%2.70X26%3.30241%2.35 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

On our numbers Sakaryaspor have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Çorum FK 57%.

How many goals will there be in Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

Our predicted score is Sakaryaspor 1–1 Çorum FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.