Hatayspor v Vanspor FK Prediction & Expected Goals (1 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVanspor FK to win ✗63% · @1.25

Double chanceVanspor FK or draw ✗84% · @1.02

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Hatayspor vs Vanspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hatayspor welcome Vanspor FK to Mersin Stadyumu for a 1. Lig fixture on Friday 1 May (12:30 WAT).

Current form

Hatayspor, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Serik Spor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Vanspor FK, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to İstanbulspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vanspor FK, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Hatayspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hatayspor 1.0 xG, Vanspor FK 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hatayspor 16%, draw 21%, Vanspor FK 63%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hatayspor 1–1 Vanspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hatayspor16%fair 6.27 · @8.40

Draw21%fair 4.69 · @5.50

Vanspor FK63%fair 1.59 · @1.25

2.94Expected goals

0.99Hatayspor xG

1.95Vanspor FK xG

60%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–110%

1–110%

0–210%

1–210%

0–36%

1–36%

From our goals model: Hatayspor 1.0 – 1.9 Vanspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Vanspor FK to win ✗	63%	1.59	1.25
Double chance	Vanspor FK or draw ✗	84%	1.19	1.02
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.67
Draw no bet	Vanspor FK (draw no bet) ✗	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Hatayspor +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.60	1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	59%	1.70	1.80 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.33
First team to score	Vanspor FK to score first	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Vanspor FK ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Vanspor FK / FT Vanspor FK ✗	38%	2.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.05	–

Hatayspor – last 6

LDLWLL

25 Apr	@ Serik Spor	2–4	L
18 Apr	vs Sakaryaspor	1–1	D
11 Apr	@ Sarıyer	0–4	L
7 Apr	vs Adana Demirspor	4–0	W
3 Apr	@ Pendikspor	1–4	L
22 Mar	vs Amed	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Vanspor FK – last 6

LWLWLD

25 Apr	vs İstanbulspor	1–3	L
19 Apr	@ Ümraniyespor	2–1	W
12 Apr	vs Manisa F.K.	0–1	L
8 Apr	@ Serik Spor	6–1	W
4 Apr	@ Keçiörengücü	0–3	L
22 Mar	vs Sarıyer	0–0	D

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hatayspor vs Vanspor FK?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Hatayspor vs Vanspor FK?

On our numbers Hatayspor have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vanspor FK 63%.

How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Vanspor FK?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hatayspor vs Vanspor FK?

Our predicted score is Hatayspor 1–1 Vanspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Hatayspor vs Vanspor FK?

Hatayspor vs Vanspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hatayspor v Vanspor FK: numbers & prediction

Hatayspor