İstanbulspor v Adana Demirspor Prediction & Expected Goals (1 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

Resultİstanbulspor to win ✓77% · @1.01

Double chanceİstanbulspor or draw ✓91% · fair 1.09

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.60

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

İstanbulspor vs Adana Demirspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

İstanbulspor welcome Adana Demirspor to Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadyumu for a 1. Lig fixture on Friday 1 May (15:00 WAT).

Current form

İstanbulspor, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vanspor FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Adana Demirspor, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Boluspor, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours İstanbulspor, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Adana Demirspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give İstanbulspor 2.7 xG, Adana Demirspor 1.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – İstanbulspor 77%, draw 14%, Adana Demirspor 9%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.60 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: İstanbulspor 2–1 Adana Demirspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

İstanbulspor77%fair 1.29 · @1.01

Draw14%fair 7.07 · @11.00

Adana Demirspor9%fair 11.71 · @51.00

3.70Expected goals

2.72İstanbulspor xG

0.99Adana Demirspor xG

54%Both score

71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%

2–19%

3–08%

3–18%

1–07%

1–17%

From our goals model: İstanbulspor 2.7 – 1.0 Adana Demirspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	İstanbulspor to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.01
Double chance	İstanbulspor or draw ✓	91%	1.09	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.85	2.60 ▲
Draw no bet	İstanbulspor (draw no bet) ✓	90%	1.11	–
Asian handicap	İstanbulspor -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	54%	1.86	2.40 ▲
First team to score	İstanbulspor to score first	72%	1.40	–
Half-time result	İstanbulspor ahead at half-time ✓	55%	1.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT İstanbulspor / FT İstanbulspor ✓	51%	1.97	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.14	–

İstanbulspor – last 6

WWWLLL

25 Apr	@ Vanspor FK	3–1	W
19 Apr	vs Sarıyer	3–1	W
13 Apr	@ Sivasspor	3–1	W
9 Apr	vs Erzurumspor FK	0–1	L
22 Mar	vs Bodrum FK	0–1	L
11 Mar	vs Amed	0–4	L

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Adana Demirspor – last 6

LLWLLL

19 Apr	@ Boluspor	0–6	L
7 Apr	@ Hatayspor	0–4	L
3 Apr	vs Manisa F.K.	2–1	W
14 Mar	vs Serik Spor	1–4	L
10 Mar	@ Van Spor Kulübü	0–1	L
6 Mar	@ Sakaryaspor	0–4	L

0.5Scored / game

3.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for İstanbulspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.60.

Who will win İstanbulspor vs Adana Demirspor?

On our numbers İstanbulspor have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Adana Demirspor 9%.

How many goals will there be in İstanbulspor vs Adana Demirspor?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for İstanbulspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Our predicted score is İstanbulspor 2–1 Adana Demirspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is İstanbulspor vs Adana Demirspor?

İstanbulspor vs Adana Demirspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

İstanbulspor v Adana Demirspor: numbers & prediction