Value bet: Truro City to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultScunthorpe to win ✓42% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.43
Truro City vs Scunthorpe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: Truro City v Scunthorpe in the National League, played at Truro Sports Hub.
Current form
Truro City, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Southend, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Scunthorpe, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sutton Utd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Truro City 1.5 xG, Scunthorpe 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Truro City 32%, draw 26%, Scunthorpe 42%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Truro City to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Truro City 1–1 Scunthorpe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Truro City32%fair 3.14 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.35
Scunthorpe42%fair 2.36 · @1.90
2.87Expected goals
1.49Truro City xG
1.38Scunthorpe xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Truro City 1.5 – 1.4 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Truro City
Scunthorpe
Attack vs National League average
-14%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.74
1.11
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scunthorpe to win✓
42%
2.36
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.60
Draw no bet
Scunthorpe (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Scunthorpe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Truro City to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Truro City / FT Truro City✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.43
–
Recent results
Truro City – last 3
DLL
3 Mar
@ Southend
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Eastleigh
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Boreham Wood
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Scunthorpe – last 4
LLLD
10 Mar
vs Sutton Utd
1–2
L
24 Feb
vs York
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Aldershot Town
1–3
L
17 Feb
@ Rochdale
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Truro City and Scunthorpe.
What is the prediction for Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
On our numbers Truro City have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Scunthorpe 42%.
How many goals will there be in Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
Our predicted score is Truro City 1–1 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Truro City vs Scunthorpe?
Truro City vs Scunthorpe (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Truro Sports Hub.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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