Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Morecambe to win @ 2.90 – our chance 43% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMorecambe to win ✗43% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Morecambe vs Hartlepool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Wednesday 25 March: Morecambe v Hartlepool in the National League, played at Mazuma Mobile Stadium.
Current form
Morecambe, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Wealdstone, away. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morecambe 1.8 xG, Hartlepool 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morecambe 43%, draw 22%, Hartlepool 35%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Morecambe to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morecambe 1–1 Hartlepool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morecambe43%fair 2.32 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Hartlepool35%fair 2.90 · @2.15
3.22Expected goals
1.84Morecambe xG
1.38Hartlepool xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Morecambe 1.8 – 1.4 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Morecambe
Hartlepool
Attack vs National League average
+22%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+10%
Our expected goals here
2.35
1.36
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morecambe to win✗
43%
2.32
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Draw no bet
Morecambe (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Hartlepool +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Morecambe to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morecambe / FT Morecambe✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Morecambe – last 3
WDW
3 Mar
@ Wealdstone
3–2
W
25 Feb
@ Gateshead
4–4
D
21 Feb
vs Eastleigh
4–0
W
3.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hartlepool – last 2
LW
3 Mar
vs Sutton Utd
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Carlisle
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and Hartlepool.
What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hartlepool 35%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
Our predicted score is Morecambe 1–1 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
Morecambe vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mazuma Mobile Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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