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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Scunthorpe v Rochdale: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Attis Arena

Scunthorpe

WLLLD
2–2
FT

Rochdale

LWDWD
Scunthorpe 28%Draw 22%Rochdale 50% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.71
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultRochdale to win ✗50% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Scunthorpe vs Rochdale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 25 March the National League brings Scunthorpe against Rochdale at Attis Arena. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Scunthorpe, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Truro City, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Rochdale, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Southend, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Rochdale, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.8 for Scunthorpe.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Rochdale 1–1 Scunthorpe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Scunthorpe 1.3 xG, Rochdale 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Scunthorpe 28%, draw 22%, Rochdale 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scunthorpe 1–1 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Scunthorpe28%fair 3.58 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.45
Rochdale50%fair 2.00 · @1.95
3.02Expected goals
1.31Scunthorpe xG
1.71Rochdale xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Scunthorpe 1.3 – 1.7 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ScunthorpeRochdale
Attack vs National League average-17%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+16%+1%
Our expected goals here1.461.73

Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRochdale to win ✗50%2.001.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.62
Draw no betRochdale (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapScunthorpe +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.511.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreRochdale to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rochdale / FT Rochdale ✗29%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Scunthorpe – last 5

WLLLD
17 Mar@ Truro City2–1W
10 Marvs Sutton Utd1–2L
24 Febvs York0–3L
21 Feb@ Aldershot Town1–3L
17 Feb@ Rochdale1–1D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Rochdale – last 5

LWDWD
17 Mar@ Southend2–3L
3 Marvs Brackley Town3–2W
24 Feb@ FC Halifax Town2–2D
21 Febvs Woking3–0W
17 Febvs Scunthorpe1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026Rochdale v Scunthorpe1–1
Scunthorpe vs Rochdale head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub
FT Morecambe2 Hartlepool3 143%2.90X22%3.40235%2.15 1.8–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Southend1 Woking1 158%1.62X23%3.60218%4.80 2.0–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Tamworth1 Forest Green0 132%3.35X21%3.65247%1.91 1.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✗
FT Truro City1 Solihull Moors1 144%2.65X24%3.25232%2.40 1.7–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Wealdstone0 Yeovil Town2 146%1.83X23%3.40231%3.90 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scunthorpe vs Rochdale?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Scunthorpe vs Rochdale?

On our numbers Scunthorpe have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rochdale 50%.

How many goals will there be in Scunthorpe vs Rochdale?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Scunthorpe vs Rochdale?

Our predicted score is Scunthorpe 1–1 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Scunthorpe vs Rochdale?

Scunthorpe vs Rochdale (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Attis Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.