Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarlisle to win ✗66% · @1.53
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Carlisle vs Gateshead: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gateshead travel to face Carlisle on Friday 3 April in the National League, with Brunton Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Carlisle are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Gateshead are 24th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Carlisle, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Halifax Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gateshead, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over York, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carlisle 2.4 xG, Gateshead 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carlisle 66%, draw 19%, Gateshead 15%.
Lower-risk option: Carlisle or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Carlisle to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carlisle 2–0 Gateshead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carlisle66%fair 1.51 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.20
Gateshead15%fair 6.81 · @5.00
3.27Expected goals
2.39Carlisle xG
0.87Gateshead xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Carlisle 2.4 – 0.9 Gateshead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Carlisle
Gateshead
Attack vs National League average
+21%
-41%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+24%
Our expected goals here
2.61
0.72
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✗
66%
1.51
1.53
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Draw no bet
Carlisle (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Carlisle -1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Carlisle to score first✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Carlisle – last 4
WWLW
24 Mar
@ FC Halifax Town
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Aldershot Town
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Hartlepool
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Yeovil Town
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gateshead – last 6
WWDWDW
24 Mar
vs York
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Wealdstone
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Southend
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Braintree
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Morecambe
4–4
D
17 Feb
@ FC Halifax Town
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Gateshead.
Our pick is Carlisle to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Carlisle vs Gateshead?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gateshead 15%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Gateshead?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Gateshead?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 2–0 Gateshead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Gateshead?
Carlisle vs Gateshead (National League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
York1
Brackley Town0
Rochdale2
Morecambe4
Braintree2