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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rochdale v Morecambe: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale

DLWDW
2–4
FT

Morecambe

LWDW
Rochdale 60%Draw 19%Morecambe 21% Expected goals 2.12 – 1.41
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultRochdale to win ✗60% · @1.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Rochdale vs Morecambe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Morecambe travel to face Rochdale on Friday 3 April in the National League, with Crown Oil Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Rochdale, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Scunthorpe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Morecambe, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Hartlepool, at home. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 2.1 xG, Morecambe 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 60%, draw 19%, Morecambe 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 2–1 Morecambe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rochdale60%fair 1.66 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @5.50
Morecambe21%fair 4.83 · @8.50
3.53Expected goals
2.12Rochdale xG
1.41Morecambe xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Rochdale 2.1 – 1.4 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RochdaleMorecambe
Attack vs National League average+5%+22%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+11%
Our expected goals here2.041.75

Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRochdale to win ✗60%1.661.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.75 ▲
Draw no betRochdale (draw no bet) ✗74%1.34–
Asian handicapMorecambe +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
First team to scoreRochdale to score first58%1.72–
Half-time resultRochdale ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rochdale / FT Rochdale ✗34%2.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Rochdale – last 6

DLWDWD
25 Mar@ Scunthorpe2–2D
17 Mar@ Southend2–3L
3 Marvs Brackley Town3–2W
24 Feb@ FC Halifax Town2–2D
21 Febvs Woking3–0W
17 Febvs Scunthorpe1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Morecambe – last 4

LWDW
25 Marvs Hartlepool2–3L
3 Mar@ Wealdstone3–2W
25 Feb@ Gateshead4–4D
21 Febvs Eastleigh4–0W
3.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Morecambe.

Rochdale vs Morecambe head-to-head page →

More National League predictions

League hub
FT Aldershot Town2 Sutton Utd2 141%2.15X26%3.40233%3.00 1.4–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.40 ✓
FT Altrincham0 FC Halifax Town1 137%2.62X25%3.30238%2.40 1.4–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.55 ✗
FT Boreham Wood5 Wealdstone1 168%1.57X19%4.20213%4.75 2.7–1.1xG 1Boreham Wood to win 68%@1.57 ✓
FT Boston United0 York1 120%5.00X22%4.20257%1.50 1.3–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.57 ✗
FT Carlisle0 Gateshead0 166%1.53X19%4.20215%5.00 2.4–0.9xG 1Carlisle to win 66%@1.53 ✗
FT Forest Green4 Brackley Town0 164%1.36X20%4.80216%7.00 2.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.73 ✗
FT Scunthorpe0 Hartlepool0 150%1.91X22%3.60228%3.40 1.7–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.53 ✗
FT Southend3 Braintree2 168%1.25X20%5.00212%10.00 2.2–1.0xG 1Southend to win 68%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Morecambe?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Rochdale vs Morecambe?

On our numbers Rochdale have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Morecambe 21%.

How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Morecambe?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Morecambe?

Our predicted score is Rochdale 2–1 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Rochdale vs Morecambe?

Rochdale vs Morecambe (National League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Crown Oil Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.