Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 2.28 – our chance 56% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓56% · @2.28
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nizhny Novgorod welcome Krylia Sovetov to Sovcombank Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT).
Current form
Krylia Sovetov, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 xG, Krylia Sovetov 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 50% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nizhny Novgorod 56%, draw 22%, Krylia Sovetov 22%.
Lower-risk option: Nizhny Novgorod or draw (78%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @2.28 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nizhny Novgorod or draw (78%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Krylia Sovetov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nizhny Novgorod56%fair 1.78 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Krylia Sovetov22%fair 4.62 · @3.54
2.99Expected goals
2.06Nizhny Novgorod xG
0.93Krylia Sovetov xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 – 0.9 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
56%
1.78
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.92 ▲
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.03
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Nizhny Novgorod
No recent results on record.
Krylia Sovetov – last 5
WWLLW
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs FC Orenburg
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Dynamo
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Baltika
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Chelyabinsk
3–2
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Krylia Sovetov.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Nizhny Novgorod or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Krylia Sovetov 22%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
