Value bet: Rubin to win @ 3.44 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗41% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Rubin vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv travel to face Rubin on Sunday 15 March in the Premier League, with Kazan Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Rubin are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Akhmat, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rubin 1.2 xG, Lokomotiv 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rubin 32%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv 41%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Rubin to win @3.44 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubin 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rubin32%fair 3.15 · @3.44
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.32
Lokomotiv41%fair 2.46 · @2.23
2.47Expected goals
1.19Rubin xG
1.28Lokomotiv xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rubin 1.2 – 1.3 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✗
41%
2.46
2.23
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Rubin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Lokomotiv to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Rubin – last 2
WL
8 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 3
DWW
9 Mar
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Dinamo Samarqand
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin and Lokomotiv.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Rubin have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lokomotiv 41%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Rubin 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
Rubin vs Lokomotiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kazan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod3