Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 3.22 – our chance 46% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +48%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✗46% · @3.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Rostov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nizhny Novgorod welcome FC Rostov to Sovcombank Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 5 April (12:00 WAT).
Current form
FC Rostov, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Akhmat, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nizhny Novgorod 1.8 xG, FC Rostov 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nizhny Novgorod 46%, draw 23%, FC Rostov 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.98.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @3.22 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 FC Rostov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nizhny Novgorod46%fair 2.18 · @3.22
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.24
FC Rostov31%fair 3.20 · @2.41
2.83Expected goals
1.76Nizhny Novgorod xG
1.07FC Rostov xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 1.8 – 1.1 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✗
46%
2.18
3.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.38 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.98 ▲
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
FC Rostov +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.01
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Nizhny Novgorod – last 1
W
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Rostov – last 5
LLLLL
21 Mar
@ Akhmat
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Spartak Moscow
2–5
L
18 Feb
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and FC Rostov.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Rostov?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Rostov 31%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Rostov?
Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
