Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓53% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.59
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Moscow welcome Lokomotiv to Lukoil Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 5 April (17:30 WAT). In the table, Spartak Moscow are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Orenburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Lokomotiv, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Akron, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.6 a game lately.
Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Lokomotiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 1.9 xG, Lokomotiv 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 53%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv 24%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.59.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Moscow53%fair 1.89 · @1.98
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.78
Lokomotiv24%fair 4.16 · @3.78
2.96Expected goals
1.91Spartak Moscow xG
1.05Lokomotiv xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 1.9 – 1.0 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
53%
1.89
1.98 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.59
Draw no bet
Spartak Moscow (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
First team to score
Spartak Moscow to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WWWLWW
22 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
2–0
W
18 Mar
vs Dynamo
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Akron
4–3
W
5 Mar
@ Dynamo
2–5
L
2 Mar
@ FC Sochi
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs FC Rostov
5–2
W
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 5
WLDWW
22 Mar
vs Akron
5–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rubin
0–3
L
9 Mar
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Dinamo Samarqand
4–0
W
2.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv 24%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod0