FC Krasnodar 56%Draw 24%Baltika 20%Expected goals 1.53 – 0.93
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.24
8/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFC Krasnodar to win56% · @1.56
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.11
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.75
FC Krasnodar vs Baltika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baltika travel to face FC Krasnodar on Sunday 19 April in the Premier League, with Ozon Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, FC Krasnodar are 4th, among the top four, on 26 points after 14 matches; Baltika are 9th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
FC Krasnodar, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dynamo, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Baltika, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dinamo Makhachkala, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Krasnodar 1.5 xG, Baltika 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Krasnodar 56%, draw 24%, Baltika 20%.
Lower-risk option: FC Krasnodar or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.11.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Krasnodar 1–0 Baltika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Krasnodar56%fair 1.79 · @1.56
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @4.20
Baltika20%fair 4.88 · @6.45
2.46Expected goals
1.53FC Krasnodar xG
0.93Baltika xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.5 – 0.9 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win
56%
1.79
1.56
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw
80%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.11 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Krasnodar (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Baltika +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
1.04
First team to score
FC Krasnodar to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
FC Krasnodar – last 6
DWWLLW
8 Apr
@ Dynamo
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ FC Sochi
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Rubin
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs FC Rostov
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Baltika – last 6
DLLWDW
5 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Zenit
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Zenit
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
18 Feb
vs Kaisar
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Krasnodar and Baltika.
What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baltika 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–0 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
FC Krasnodar vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
