Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Spartak Moscow v Akhmat in the Premier League, played at Lukoil Arena. In the table, Spartak Moscow are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Akhmat are 12th (lower half) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Akhmat, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Rostov, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Akhmat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 1.9 xG, Akhmat 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 64%, draw 23%, Akhmat 13%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 2–0 Akhmat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Moscow64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.40
Akhmat13%fair 7.50 · @6.55
2.73Expected goals
1.94Spartak Moscow xG
0.79Akhmat xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 1.9 – 0.8 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Spartak Moscow (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Spartak Moscow to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WWWWLW
5 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
2–0
W
18 Mar
vs Dynamo
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Akron
4–3
W
5 Mar
@ Dynamo
2–5
L
2 Mar
@ FC Sochi
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 5
WDDWD
21 Mar
vs FC Rostov
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Akron
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Baltika
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and Akhmat.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Akhmat 13%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
