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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Akhmat v Baltika: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Akhmat-Arena

Akhmat

LWDDW
1–1
FT

Baltika

DLLWD
Akhmat 31%Draw 29%Baltika 40% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.16
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultBaltika to win ✗40% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.90

Akhmat vs Baltika: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Baltika travel to face Akhmat on Thursday 23 April in the Premier League, with Akhmat-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Akhmat are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Baltika are 9th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Akhmat, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Spartak Moscow, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Baltika, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dinamo Makhachkala, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Baltika 2–2 Akhmat.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Akhmat 1.0 xG, Baltika 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Akhmat 31%, draw 29%, Baltika 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.92.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akhmat 1–1 Baltika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Akhmat31%fair 3.26 · @3.25
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.16
Baltika40%fair 2.48 · @2.44
2.20Expected goals
1.04Akhmat xG
1.16Baltika xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Akhmat 1.0 – 1.2 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBaltika to win ✗40%2.482.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.411.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.92
Draw no betBaltika (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapAkhmat +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.651.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.19
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.02
First team to scoreBaltika to score first47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Baltika / FT Baltika ✗22%4.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.90–

Recent results

Akhmat – last 6

LWDDWD
19 Apr@ Spartak Moscow1–3L
21 Marvs FC Rostov1–0W
15 Mar@ Akron1–1D
9 Mar@ Lokomotiv2–2D
1 Marvs CSKA Moscow1–0W
18 Feb@ Baltika2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Baltika – last 6

DLLWDW
5 Apr@ Dinamo Makhachkala2–2D
3 Marvs Zenit0–1L
27 Feb@ Zenit0–1L
22 Feb@ Krylia Sovetov1–0W
18 Febvs Akhmat2–2D
18 Febvs Kaisar2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Feb 2026Baltika v Akhmat2–2
Akhmat vs Baltika head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Baltika?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Akhmat vs Baltika?

On our numbers Akhmat have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Baltika 40%.

How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Baltika?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Baltika?

Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Akhmat vs Baltika?

Akhmat vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.