Lokomotiv vs Zenit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 April the Premier League brings Lokomotiv against Zenit at RZD Arena. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Zenit are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Orenburg, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Zenit, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Lokomotiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.1 xG, Zenit 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 27%, draw 25%, Zenit 48%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.76.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 Zenit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv27%fair 3.70 · @3.48
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.48
Zenit48%fair 2.10 · @2.18
2.67Expected goals
1.06Lokomotiv xG
1.61Zenit xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.1 – 1.6 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✗
48%
2.10
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.76
Draw no bet
Zenit (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.84
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
Zenit to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv – last 6
WLWLDW
18 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Akron
5–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rubin
0–3
L
9 Mar
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zenit – last 6
WWWWLW
19 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Dynamo
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Baltika
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Zenit.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zenit 48%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
Lokomotiv vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod1