Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 4.10 – our chance 39% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +61%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✗39% · @4.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nizhny Novgorod travel to face FC Orenburg on Wednesday 22 April in the Premier League, with Gazovik Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Current form
FC Orenburg, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lokomotiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Orenburg 1.2 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Orenburg 37%, draw 23%, Nizhny Novgorod 39%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Orenburg 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Orenburg37%fair 2.69 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.55
Nizhny Novgorod39%fair 2.54 · @4.10
2.70Expected goals
1.16FC Orenburg xG
1.55Nizhny Novgorod xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: FC Orenburg 1.2 – 1.5 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✗
39%
2.54
4.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
FC Orenburg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.04
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
FC Orenburg – last 6
LLLWLW
18 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Spartak Moscow
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Zenit
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Akron
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 2
LW
5 Apr
vs FC Rostov
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Orenburg and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers FC Orenburg have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nizhny Novgorod 39%.
How many goals will there be in FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is FC Orenburg 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Gazovik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
