Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Moscow travel to face Krylia Sovetov on Friday 1 May in the Premier League, with Samara Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Krylia Sovetov are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Spartak Moscow are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Krylia Sovetov, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Sochi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nizhny Novgorod, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Krylia Sovetov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 1.0 xG, Spartak Moscow 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 19%, draw 22%, Spartak Moscow 59%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (81%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.78.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Spartak Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Krylia Sovetov19%fair 5.29 · @5.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.30
Spartak Moscow59%fair 1.70 · @1.64
2.83Expected goals
1.01Krylia Sovetov xG
1.82Spartak Moscow xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.0 – 1.8 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✗
59%
1.70
1.64
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.78 ▲
Draw no bet
Spartak Moscow (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Krylia Sovetov +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.09
First team to score
Spartak Moscow to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
LLLDLW
21 Apr
@ FC Sochi
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs CSKA Moscow
2–5
L
4 Apr
@ Zenit
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Rubin
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WLWWWW
26 Apr
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akhmat
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
2–0
W
18 Mar
vs Dynamo
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krylia Sovetov and Spartak Moscow.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartak Moscow 59%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
