Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Dynamo to win @ 3.22 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗38% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Lokomotiv vs Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv welcome Dynamo to RZD Arena for a Premier League fixture on Friday 1 May (17:30 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Dynamo are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zenit, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Dynamo, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rubin, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.3 xG, Dynamo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 38%, draw 25%, Dynamo 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.52.
Price worth noting: Dynamo to win @3.22 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv38%fair 2.63 · @2.18
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.78
Dynamo37%fair 2.68 · @3.22
2.87Expected goals
1.35Lokomotiv xG
1.52Dynamo xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.3 – 1.5 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✗
38%
2.63
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.52
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.16
First team to score
Dynamo to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.76
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv – last 6
DWLWLD
22 Apr
vs Zenit
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Akron
5–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rubin
0–3
L
9 Mar
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dynamo – last 6
LWDLLW
22 Apr
vs Rubin
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Akron
3–2
W
8 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Zenit
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ CSKA Moscow
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Dynamo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dynamo 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?
Lokomotiv vs Dynamo (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
