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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Akhmat v Dinamo Makhachkala: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Akhmat-Arena

Akhmat

DLWDD
1–1
FT
Akhmat 42%Draw 28%Dinamo Makhachkala 30% Expected goals 1.31 – 0.99
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.43Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAkhmat to win ✗42% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.41
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:15 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Akhmat v Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League, played at Akhmat-Arena. In the table, Akhmat are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Akhmat, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Baltika, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Dinamo Makhachkala, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Rostov, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Akhmat, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Dinamo Makhachkala.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Akhmat 1.3 xG, Dinamo Makhachkala 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Akhmat 42%, draw 28%, Dinamo Makhachkala 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.99.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.99 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akhmat 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Akhmat42%fair 2.36 · @2.56
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Dinamo Makhachkala30%fair 3.36 · @3.12
2.30Expected goals
1.31Akhmat xG
0.99Dinamo Makhachkala xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Akhmat 1.3 – 1.0 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAkhmat to win ✗42%2.362.56 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.381.41
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.99 ▲
Draw no betAkhmat (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapDinamo Makhachkala +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.43
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreAkhmat to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Akhmat / FT Akhmat ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

Akhmat – last 6

DLWDDW
23 Aprvs Baltika1–1D
19 Apr@ Spartak Moscow1–3L
21 Marvs FC Rostov1–0W
15 Mar@ Akron1–1D
9 Mar@ Lokomotiv2–2D
1 Marvs CSKA Moscow1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6

LDLDLW
2 Mayvs FC Rostov1–2L
23 Apr@ Akron1–1D
19 Aprvs Zenit0–1L
5 Aprvs Baltika2–2D
18 Mar@ Zenit0–1L
13 Marvs FC Orenburg1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and Dinamo Makhachkala.

Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

On our numbers Akhmat have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Dinamo Makhachkala 30%.

How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.