Value bet: AEK Athens FC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPAOK to win ✗41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Super League 1 brings PAOK against AEK Athens FC at Toumba Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, PAOK are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; AEK Athens FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAOK 1.5 xG, AEK Athens FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAOK 41%, draw 27%, AEK Athens FC 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: AEK Athens FC to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAOK41%fair 2.43 · @2.28
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.78
AEK Athens FC32%fair 3.15 · @3.40
2.88Expected goals
1.50PAOK xG
1.38AEK Athens FC xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: PAOK 1.5 – 1.4 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✗
41%
2.43
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
PAOK (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
AEK Athens FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
PAOK to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
PAOK
No recent results on record.
AEK Athens FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and AEK Athens FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers PAOK have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and AEK Athens FC 32%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Larisa1