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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Panathinaikos v Larisa: numbers & prediction

Super League 1 · Greece · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium
Panathinaikos 66%Draw 23%Larisa 11% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.69
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPanathinaikos to win ✗66% · @1.36
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Panathinaikos vs Larisa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Larisa travel to face Panathinaikos on Sunday 15 February in the Super League 1, with Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Panathinaikos 1.8 xG, Larisa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Panathinaikos 66%, draw 23%, Larisa 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panathinaikos 1–0 Larisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Panathinaikos66%fair 1.52 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.20
Larisa11%fair 8.77 · @8.50
2.51Expected goals
1.82Panathinaikos xG
0.69Larisa xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Panathinaikos 1.8 – 0.7 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPanathinaikos to win ✗66%1.521.36
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓89%1.131.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.982.30 ▲
Draw no betPanathinaikos (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapPanathinaikos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scorePanathinaikos to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultPanathinaikos ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Panathinaikos

No recent results on record.

Larisa

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Panathinaikos and Larisa.

Panathinaikos vs Larisa head-to-head page →

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Panathinaikos10901+1727
2Olympiakos Piraeus10721+1123
3AEK Athens FC9621+1720
4PAOK10613+619
5Aris Thessalonikis10613-119
6OFI10523+217
7Kifisia10424014
8Kalamata10334-412
9Iraklis 190810244-310
10Panetolikos10307-129
11Asteras Tripolis10145-97
12Atromitos9135-36
13Levadiakos10136-96
14Volos NFC10037-120

More Super League 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Larisa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Panathinaikos vs Larisa?

On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Larisa 11%.

How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs Larisa?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs Larisa?

Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 1–0 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Panathinaikos vs Larisa?

Panathinaikos vs Larisa (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.