Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓64% · @1.71
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Super League 1 brings Panathinaikos against Aris Thessalonikis at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Panathinaikos are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 10 matches; Aris Thessalonikis are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Panathinaikos, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over OFI, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Panathinaikos 1.9 xG, Aris Thessalonikis 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Panathinaikos 64%, draw 22%, Aris Thessalonikis 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panathinaikos 2–0 Aris Thessalonikis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Panathinaikos64%fair 1.56 · @1.71
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Aris Thessalonikis14%fair 7.37 · @5.25
2.64Expected goals
1.92Panathinaikos xG
0.72Aris Thessalonikis xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Panathinaikos 1.9 – 0.7 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panathinaikos to win✓
64%
1.56
1.71 ▲
Double chance
Panathinaikos or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Panathinaikos (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Panathinaikos -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Panathinaikos to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Panathinaikos ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Panathinaikos – last 3
WDD
22 Feb
@ OFI
2–0
W
19 Feb
vs Plzen
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Larisa
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aris Thessalonikis – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Kifisia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Panathinaikos and Aris Thessalonikis.
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aris Thessalonikis 14%.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 2–0 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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