Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPAOK to win ✓71% · @1.27
Double chancePAOK or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Asteras Tripolis travel to face PAOK on Sunday 1 March in the Super League 1, with Toumba Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, PAOK are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Asteras Tripolis are 11th (lower half) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
PAOK, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Celta Vigo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAOK 2.1 xG, Asteras Tripolis 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAOK 71%, draw 19%, Asteras Tripolis 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAOK 2–0 Asteras Tripolis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAOK71%fair 1.41 · @1.27
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @5.00
Asteras Tripolis10%fair 10.13 · @9.70
2.80Expected goals
2.10PAOK xG
0.70Asteras Tripolis xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: PAOK 2.1 – 0.7 Asteras Tripolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✓
71%
1.41
1.27
Double chance
PAOK or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
PAOK (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
PAOK -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
PAOK to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
PAOK ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
PAOK – last 4
LDLD
26 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Larisa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Celta Vigo
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs AEK Athens FC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Asteras Tripolis – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Atromitos
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Asteras Tripolis.
What is the prediction for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
On our numbers PAOK have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Asteras Tripolis 10%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our predicted score is PAOK 2–0 Asteras Tripolis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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