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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hamburger SV W v Bayern Munich W: numbers & prediction

Frauen Bundesliga · Germany · Volksparkstadion
0–1
FT
Hamburger SV W 8%Draw 14%Bayern Munich W 78% Expected goals 0.90 – 2.81
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBayern Munich W to win ✓78% · @1.07
Double chanceBayern Munich W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hamburger SV W welcome Bayern Munich W to Volksparkstadion for a Frauen Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 17 May (13:00 WAT). In the table, Hamburger SV W are 13th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Bayern Munich W are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hamburger SV W, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Koln W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Bayern Munich W, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over VfL Wolfsburg W, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bayern Munich W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Hamburger SV W.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Hamburger SV W 0–3 Bayern Munich W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hamburger SV W 0.9 xG, Bayern Munich W 2.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hamburger SV W 8%, draw 14%, Bayern Munich W 78%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamburger SV W 0–3 Bayern Munich W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hamburger SV W8%fair 12.27 · @21.00
Draw14%fair 7.39 · @8.60
Bayern Munich W78%fair 1.28 · @1.07
3.71Expected goals
0.90Hamburger SV W xG
2.81Bayern Munich W xG
54%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
0–39%
1–29%
1–38%
0–17%
0–46%

From our goals model: Hamburger SV W 0.9 – 2.8 Bayern Munich W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayern Munich W to win ✓78%1.281.07
Double chanceBayern Munich W or draw ✓92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.862.15 ▲
Draw no betBayern Munich W (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapBayern Munich W -1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73%1.361.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.531.50
First team to scoreBayern Munich W to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultBayern Munich W ahead at half-time ✗58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayern Munich W / FT Bayern Munich W ✗54%1.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Hamburger SV W – last 6

LLWLLD
9 May@ FC Koln W1–2L
1 Mayvs Union Berlin W0–1L
24 Apr@ Nürnberg1–0W
30 Marvs Bayer Leverkusen W1–3L
21 Mar@ Eintracht Frankfurt W1–4L
15 Mar@ Carl Zeiss Jena W1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bayern Munich W – last 6

WDWWWW
14 May@ VfL Wolfsburg W4–0W
6 Mayvs 1899 Hoffenheim W1–1D
29 Apr@ Werder Bremen W2–0W
22 Apr@ Union Berlin W3–2W
6 Aprvs SGS Essen W4–0W
1 Aprvs Manchester United W2–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Hamburger SV W v Bayern Munich W0–3
Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W head-to-head page →

Frauen Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W9900+2427
2VfL Wolfsburg W9801+2024
3Eintracht Frankfurt W9522+617
4Werder Bremen W9513+416
5Bayer Leverkusen W9513+316
6FC Koln W9504+315
7Union Berlin W9324-211
8Stuttgart W9324-1011
9RB Leipzig W9315-210
101899 Hoffenheim W9315-410
11SC Freiburg W9315-710
12Nürnberg W9225-78
13Hamburger SV W9135-36
14Mainz 05 W9009-250

More Frauen Bundesliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?

On our numbers Hamburger SV W have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Bayern Munich W 78%.

How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?

Our predicted score is Hamburger SV W 0–3 Bayern Munich W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W?

Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.