SGS Essen W 41%Draw 22%SC Freiburg W 37%Expected goals 1.87 – 1.41
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: SGS Essen W to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSGS Essen W to win ✗41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
SGS Essen W vs SC Freiburg W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: SGS Essen W v SC Freiburg W in the Frauen Bundesliga, played at Stadion Essen.
Current form
SGS Essen W, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nürnberg W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
SC Freiburg W, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to VfL Wolfsburg W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SGS Essen W 1.9 xG, SC Freiburg W 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SGS Essen W 41%, draw 22%, SC Freiburg W 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: SGS Essen W to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: SGS Essen W 1–1 SC Freiburg W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SGS Essen W41%fair 2.43 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.55
SC Freiburg W37%fair 2.74 · @2.05
3.28Expected goals
1.87SGS Essen W xG
1.41SC Freiburg W xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: SGS Essen W 1.9 – 1.4 SC Freiburg W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SGS Essen W to win✗
41%
2.43
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
SGS Essen W (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
SC Freiburg W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
SGS Essen W to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
SGS Essen W ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SGS Essen W / FT SGS Essen W✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
SGS Essen W – last 6
LLWLLL
8 May
@ Nürnberg W
0–3
L
3 May
vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0–4
L
25 Apr
vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
4–3
W
6 Apr
@ Bayern Munich W
0–4
L
29 Mar
@ Werder Bremen W
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Bayern Munich W
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
SC Freiburg W – last 6
LLLWLD
9 May
vs VfL Wolfsburg W
2–4
L
29 Mar
vs 1899 Hoffenheim W
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ RB Leipzig W
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Nürnberg
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Eintracht Frankfurt W
0–3
L
14 Feb
vs Union Berlin W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SGS Essen W and SC Freiburg W.
What is the prediction for SGS Essen W vs SC Freiburg W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SGS Essen W vs SC Freiburg W?
On our numbers SGS Essen W have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Freiburg W 37%.
How many goals will there be in SGS Essen W vs SC Freiburg W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SGS Essen W vs SC Freiburg W?
Our predicted score is SGS Essen W 1–1 SC Freiburg W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is SGS Essen W vs SC Freiburg W?
SGS Essen W vs SC Freiburg W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Essen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carl Zeiss Jena W0