Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Hornchurch to win ✓49% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Salisbury travel to face AFC Hornchurch on Tuesday 3 March in the National League South, with Hornchurch Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Current form
AFC Hornchurch, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Dover, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Salisbury, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Maidenhead, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Salisbury, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for AFC Hornchurch.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Hornchurch 1.3 xG, Salisbury 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Hornchurch 49%, draw 22%, Salisbury 29%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Salisbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Hornchurch49%fair 2.04 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.10
Salisbury29%fair 3.50 · @6.50
2.74Expected goals
1.34AFC Hornchurch xG
1.40Salisbury xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: AFC Hornchurch 1.3 – 1.4 Salisbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Hornchurch to win✓
49%
2.04
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
AFC Hornchurch (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
AFC Hornchurch +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Salisbury to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salisbury / FT Salisbury✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
AFC Hornchurch – last 3
LLL
24 Feb
@ Dover
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ AFC Totton
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Dorking Wanderers
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Salisbury – last 3
LDW
24 Feb
@ Maidenhead
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Chelmsford City
2–2
D
17 Feb
vs Chippenham Town
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Hornchurch and Salisbury.
What is the prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury?
On our numbers AFC Hornchurch have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Salisbury 29%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury?
Our predicted score is AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Salisbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury?
AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Hornchurch Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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